Bleacher Report’s Expert Consensus Week 13 NFL Picks
Will this get any simpler? Based on how the expert NFL analysts of Bleacher Report are faring against the spread this season, it can’t get much tougher.
Picking every game, Brad Gagnon, Gary Davenport and Brent Sobleski had yet another run in Week 12, falling their joint record to 251-259-18. Individually and as a team, here’s the harm through 12 weeks (a week’s documents in parentheses):
1. Gary Davenport: 92-78-6 (7-8)
2. Brent Sobleski: 81-89-6 (7-8)
3. Brad Gagnon: 78-92-6 (5-10)
Consensus picks: 83-87-6 (7-8)
With December loomingwe asked longtime sports betting analyst Dave Tuley when there could be some light at the end of the tunnel for the gambling public or when the sportsbooks will last to benefit from larger samples late in the summer season.
We were given a hope, but not sufficient to get by tuley.
“There was a time under a dozen years ago where I had a lot of years in a row where I simply killed it the second half of this year and in December,” he explained. “At the moment, I felt as though it was just the time of year once the great teams were overrated and the bad teams were underrated, and with parity what it had been, the underdogs were doing a lot better at that moment.”
However, Tuley notes that neither the books nor the bettors have struck advantages in Decembers. “As much as bettors want to think that we are becoming smarter the more we see these teams play,” he said,”obviously the oddsmakers are seeing the very same things we are, and they are adjusting and making it tough as well.”
But he believes it’s possible to pick out lines that were exaggerated by streaks and/or slumps. In particular, he pointed in the 7.5-point distribute in favor of this New Orleans Saints at a road matchup with the NFC East-leading Dallas Cowboys on Thursday night.
With that line, oddsmakers are suggesting the Saints will be preferred by as many as 13 or 14 points if this game were in New Orleans, which will seem high considering that the Cowboys are riding a three-game winning streak.
“That is [a reflection of] how the Saints have been enjoying,” Tuley said. “For the books to balance their action, they have to place it at the amount.”
It’s something to remember as we enter the last month of this 2018 season. It may not save your entire year for a bettor, but if you’ve been following us any guidance helps.
Here is what Gagnon, Davenport and Sobleski are considering heading to the initial 16-game slate in more than two months.
Read more: todaysportsnews.org