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NASCAR at Bristol odds, key stats, bets to consider: Finding value in matchup props

Following a weekend in Texas, NASCAR heads to Bristol Motor Speedway to the eighth race of the 2019 Cup Series season.

Sunday’s 500-lap Food City 500 marks the second race onto a half-mile monitor this year, but Bristol’s unique concrete design with steep banking is actually more like Dover’s one-mile track than Martinsville. Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick and Chase Elliott have graced victory lane the past 3 races.

Busch is currently Sunday’s race favored in 5/2 odds at the Westgate SuperBook, together with Harvick and Elliott priced at 12/1 and 14/1, respectively. Busch, who has finished in the top 10 in each of NASCAR’s seven races this season, leads active drivers with seven wins at Bristol. Busch has recorded 10 top-five and 15 top-10 finishes in 27 starts at the track.

While Busch is hot this year, Harvick isn’t, especially by his lofty standards. He’s led only 133 laps through seven races — and he has led laps in only two races. He’s led just 22 laps over the past four races but has finished within the top 10 in each.

Considering the stiff betting matchups oddsmakers have Harvick in –from Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano and Kyle Larson — it’s hard to trust Harvick with the rules package being used this week.

Recent results, rules package

In Bristol, the Cup Series will operate the 2019 rules bundle tailored for short tracks (less than 1.33 miles) and road classes. A 1.17-inch tapered spacer is going to be used, with motors expected to generate roughly 750 horsepower. No aero ducts will be used. This weekend’s configuration of this 2019 rules package is going to be used at 14 events in total this year. The 1.17-inch tapered spacer was initially used this year at 1-mile ISM Raceway on March 10 in Phoenix at a race won by Kyle Busch.

Recent Bristol winners
2018 Fall: Kurt Busch
2018 Spring: Kyle Busch
2017 Fall: Kyle Busch
2017 Spring: Jimmie Johnson

Recent Dover winners
2018 Fall: Chase Elliott
2018 Spring: Kevin Harvick
2017 Fall: Kyle Busch
2017 Spring: Jimmie Johnson

MORE: Chances to win NASCAR Cup Series championship

Odds to win 2019 Food City 500 in Bristol

Odds provided by Westgate

Kyle BUSCH 5/2
Kyle LARSON 7/1
Brad KESELOWSKI 8/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Kevin HARVICK 12/1
Ryan BLANEY 12/1
Denny HAMLIN 14/1
Erik JONES 14/1
Kurt BUSCH 14/1
Martin TRUEX JR 14/1
Clint BOWYER 14/1
Chase ELLIOTT 14/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 25/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 25/1
Alex BOWMAN 60/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Austin DILLON 80/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 300/1
Daniel HEMRIC 300/1
Ryan PREECE 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 1000/1
David RAGAN 5000/1
FIELD (others) 1000/1

Read more: icenationuk.com

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